Sunday, March 15, 2015

Bracketology 3/15/15 Evening

1) This bracket is final. I just finished my bracket which can be found here.

2) If BYU is in, I think that they have the spot currently belonging to Ole Miss, possibly Boise State. But we will see.

3) Be sure to follow us on Twitter.

1: Kentucky, Villanova, Duke, Wisconsin

2: Virginia, Arizona, GonzagaKansas

3: Iowa State, Notre Dame, Maryland, Baylor

4: Louisville, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Northern Iowa

5: North Carolina, SMU, Wichita State, Georgetown

6: Arkansas, Michigan State, Utah, Providence

7: VCU, Butler, Oregon, San Diego State

8: Iowa, Xavier, St. John's, Ohio State

9: Davidson, Colorado State, North Carolina State, Cincinnati

10: Oklahoma State, Purdue, Dayton, Georgia

11: Temple, Texas, (Indiana/LSU), (Boise State/Ole Miss)

12: Stephen F. Austin, Wyoming, Buffalo, Wofford

13: Valparaiso, Harvard, Georgia StateEastern Washington

14: UC Irvine, Northeastern, North Dakota State, New Mexico State

15: Belmont, Albany, UAB, Texas Southern

16: Coastal Carolina, Lafayette, (North Florida/Manhattan), (Robert Morris/Hampton)

Bubble In: Temple, Texas, Indiana, LSU, Boise State, Ole Miss

Bubble Out: BYU, UCLA, Miami (FL), Stanford, Tulsa

Bracketology 3/15/15 Morning

1) Well, we're finally at Selection Sunday. The bubble, in my mind, comes down to 3 teams for 2 spots (which will become only 1 spot if UConn wins). Right now I am leaning towards having BYU out and Boise State and Ole Miss in. All of this would've been much simpler if Wyoming had lost to San Diego State.

2) Here's how the games today could effect the seed list, aside from any changes I might make unrelated to today's games:

Georgia State/Georgia Southern: If Georgia State wins nothing changes. If Georgia Southern wins they go between Albany and UAB. Belmont and UC Irvine bump up a line.

VCU/Dayton: VCU moves up a spot but does not jump to a 6 with a win. With a loss they drop down to the top 8 seed and Iowa gets a 7. Dayton moves just behind Colorado State with a win, but drops 1 spot with a loss.

Arkansas/Kentucky: Nothing changes with a Kentucky win. If Arkansas wins, they move up 4 spots on the seed list and Georgetown moves down to a 6.

Michigan State/Wisconsin: If Wisconsin wins they pass Virginia for the last one seed, and Michigan State moves down to just above Utah. If Michigan State wins, they move up 3 spots on the S-curve and Georgetown (or Wichita State, if Arkansas also wins) moves down. Also, if the Spartans win the Badgers get passed by Arizona.

Connecticut/SMU: If SMU wins nothing changes. If UConn wins then SMU moves below Georgetown (and is at risk of moving to a 6 depending on Big Ten/SEC results). Also, UConn enters the bracket as the last 11 seed, bumping the First Four games up a spot and bumping Ole Miss out.

3) I am going to start assembling my bracket right now. I will probably put out another one once all the dust settles on today's games.

4) I will, of course, release another bracket marked "final" this evening after the conclusion of the AAC and Big Ten conference championship games.

1: Kentucky, Villanova, Duke, Virginia

2: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas

3: Iowa State, Notre Dame, Maryland, Baylor

4: Louisville, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Northern Iowa

5: North Carolina, SMU, Wichita State, Georgetown

6: Michigan State, Arkansas, Utah, Providence

7: Butler, VCU, Oregon, San Diego State

8: Iowa, Xavier, St. John's, Ohio State

9: Davidson, Colorado State, North Carolina State, Cincinnati

10: Oklahoma State, Dayton, Purdue, Georgia

11: Temple, Texas, (Indiana/LSU), (Boise State/Ole Miss)

12: Stephen F. Austin, Wyoming, Buffalo, Wofford

13: Valparaiso, Harvard, Georgia State, Eastern Washington

14: UC Irvine, Northeastern, North Dakota State, New Mexico State

15: Belmont, Albany, UAB, Texas Southern

16: Coastal Carolina, Lafayette, (North Florida/Manhattan), (Robert Morris/Hampton)

Bubble In: Temple, Texas, Indiana, LSU, Boise State, Ole Miss

Bubble Out: BYU, UCLA, Miami (FL), Stanford, Tulsa


Saturday, March 14, 2015

Bracketology 3/14/15

1) This seed list reflects a total resume re-evaluation.

2) There were a lot of tough decisions to be made here, most notably the number 1 seeds. I originally had Virginia in front of Villanova and Duke but reconsidered because of Duke's 7 wins against the RPI top 25.

3) On the bubble, I would say that any team from Oklahoma State on up is a lock. LSU, Purdue and Boise State are all in the "should be in" category and Purdue will stay there with a loss today. However, should the Boilermakers win they will move up to lock territory. Temple will also move up to lock territory if they beat SMU but will fall to 3rd or 4th team in with a loss.

4) If Tulsa loses to Connecticut today I will feel pretty good about who is in and who is out for the at-larges. Everyone I've seen has the same at-large teams in the field. But if there are bid thieves, that may change. Rhode Island, Auburn, Wyoming and Connecticut are all possible bid thieves and I guess one might argue Tulsa could be considered one as well.

5) I'm still keeping my eye out for a Buffalo, Murray State or Iona at-large. I wouldn't bet on it, but it's not 100% out of the question.

6) Bracket is up here.

7) Remember to follow us on Twitter.

1: Kentucky, Villanova, Duke, Virginia

2: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas

3: Maryland, Notre Dame, Iowa State, Oklahoma

4: Baylor, North Carolina, Northern Iowa, Louisville

5: West Virginia, Wichita State, SMU, Georgetown

6: Utah, Butler, Providence, Arkansas

7: Michigan State, San Diego State, Ohio State, Oregon

8: St. John's, VCU, Iowa, Xavier

9: Davidson, Dayton, North Carolina State, Cincinnati

10: Georgia, Colorado State, Oklahoma State, LSU

11: Purdue, Boise State, Temple, (BYU/Ole Miss)

12: (Texas/Indiana), Buffalo, Stephen F. Austin, Wofford

13: Valparaiso, Yale, Georgia State, Eastern Washington

14: Northeastern, North Dakota State,  Belmont, UC Irvine

15:Albany, New Mexico State, Lafayette, Coastal Carolina

16: Texas Southern, Middle Tennessee, North Florida, Manhattan, Robert Morris, Delaware State

Bubble In: Temple, BYU, Ole Miss, Texas, Indiana

Bubble Out: Tulsa, UCLA, Miami (FL)

Friday, March 13, 2015

Bracketology 3/13/15

1) Wow, bubbles popping all over the place. This is great news for teams like Indiana, UCLA and Tulsa. I'll have a bracket with my update tomorrow, I'm busy right now.

2) Remember that all seed lists are read left to right

3) Remember to follow us @ivarbrackets on Twitter.

1: Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova

2: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas

3: Iowa State, Oklahoma, Maryland, Baylor

4: North Carolina, Notre Dame, Northern Iowa, Louisville

5: Utah, Wichita State, Butler, West Virginia

6: Providence, SMU, Georgetown, Arkansas

7: San Diego State, Michigan State,  VCU, Ohio State

8: Oregon, St. John's, Colorado State, Iowa

9: Dayton, Georgia, Oklahoma State, Xavier

10: LSU, North Carolina State, Davidson, Cincinnati

11: Purdue, BYU, Boise State, Indiana/Mississippi

12: Texas/Temple, Buffalo, Stephen F. Austin, Wofford

13: Louisiana Tech, ValparaisoUC Davis, Yale

14: Georgia State, Northeastern, Eastern Washington, North Dakota State

15: Belmont, Albany, North Carolina Central, New Mexico State

16: LafayetteCoastal Carolina, (Texas Southern/North Florida)), (Manhattan/Robert Morris)

Bubble In: Purdue, BYU, Boise State, Indiana, Mississippi, Temple, Texas

Bubble Out: UCLA, Tulsa, Miami (FL), Richmond, Texas A&M

Thursday, March 12, 2015

Bracketology 3/12/15

1) I will have a bracket with all my updates starting tomorrow. There's just not been much to change these last couple of days.

2) Remember that all seed lists are read left to right

3) Remember to follow us @ivarbrackets on Twitter.

1: Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova

2: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas

3: Iowa State, Oklahoma, Maryland, Notre Dame

4: Baylor, Louisville, North Carolina, Northern Iowa

5: Butler, West Virginia, Utah, Wichita State

6: SMU, Providence, Georgetown, Arkansas

7: San Diego State, Michigan State, St. John's, VCU

8: Iowa, Oregon, Ohio State, Colorado State

9: Dayton, Oklahoma State, Georgia, North Carolina State

10: LSU, Davidson, Cincinnati, Xavier

11: Purdue, Mississippi, BYU, Boise State/Indiana

12: Texas/Temple, Buffalo, Stephen F. Austin, Wofford

13: Louisiana Tech, ValparaisoUC Davis, Yale

14: Georgia State, Northeastern, Eastern Washington, North Dakota State

15: Belmont, Albany, North Carolina Central, New Mexico State

16: Lafayette, Coastal Carolina, (Texas Southern/North Florida)), (Manhattan/Robert Morris)

Last Four Byes: Xavier, Purdue, Mississippi, BYU

Last Four In: Boise State, Indiana, Texas, Temple

First Four Out: Texas A&M, UCLA, Tulsa, Illinois

Next Four Out: Miami (FL), Stanford, Old Dominion, Richmond

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Bracketology 3/10/15

1) It says something about the RPI that Iona's RPI was 120 places higher than Manhattan's and they were only a 4.5 point favorite. But it's what the committee uses, so we just have to live with it.

2) Remember that all seed lists are read left to right

3) Remember to follow us @ivarbrackets on Twitter.

1: Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova

2: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas

3: Iowa State, Oklahoma, Maryland, Notre Dame

4: Baylor, Louisville, North Carolina, Northern Iowa

5: Butler, West Virginia, Utah, Wichita State

6: SMU, Providence, Georgetown, Arkansas

7: San Diego State, Michigan State, St. John's, VCU

8: Iowa, Oregon, Ohio State, Colorado State

9: Dayton, Oklahoma State, Georgia, North Carolina State

10: LSU, Davidson, Cincinnati, Xavier

11: Purdue, BYU, Mississippi, Boise State/Indiana

12: Texas/Temple, Buffalo, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin

13: Louisiana Tech, Valparaiso, Yale, UC Davis

14: Georgia State, South Dakota State, Eastern Washington, Northeastern

15: Belmont, North Carolina Central, New Mexico State, Albany

16: Lafayette, Texas Southern, (Coastal Carolina/St. Francis (NY)), (North Florida/Manhattan)

Last Four Byes: Xavier, Purdue, BYU, Mississippi

Last Four In: Boise State, Indiana, Texas, Temple

First Four Out: Texas A&M, UCLA, Tulsa, Illinois

Next Four Out: Stanford, Old Dominion, Richmond, Miami (FL)

Monday, March 9, 2015

Bracketology 3/9/15

1) Very little movement with yesterday's games. Lafayette entered the field for Bucknell.

2) Remember that all seed lists are read left to right

3) The link to the bracket can be found here. (Will be up in about an hour)

4) Remember to follow us @ivarbrackets on Twitter.

1: Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova

2: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas

3: Iowa State, Oklahoma, Maryland, Notre Dame

4: Baylor, Louisville, North Carolina, Northern Iowa

5: Butler, West Virginia, Utah, Wichita State

6: SMU, Providence, Georgetown, Arkansas

7: San Diego State, Michigan State, St. John's, VCU

8: Iowa, Oregon, Ohio State, Colorado State

9: Dayton, Oklahoma State, Georgia, North Carolina State

10: LSU, Davidson, Cincinnati, Xavier

11: Purdue, BYU, Mississippi, Boise State/Indiana

12: Texas/Temple, Buffalo, Wofford, Iona

13: Stephen F. Austin, Louisiana Tech, Valparaiso, Yale

14: UC Davis, Georgia State, South Dakota State, Eastern Washington

15: William & Mary, Belmont, North Carolina Central, New Mexico State

16: Albany, Lafayette, (Texas Southern/Coastal Carolina), (St. Francis (NY)/North Florida)

Last Four Byes: Xavier, Purdue, BYU, Mississippi

Last Four In: Boise State, Indiana, Texas, Temple

First Four Out:Texas A&M, UCLA, Tulsa, Illinois

Next Four Out: Stanford, Old Dominion, Richmond, Miami (FL)