Monday, January 30, 2012

Bracketology 1/30/12

New bracketology! I updated the 13-16 seeds. Note that Temple is the A-10 representative, as they also have 2 losses in conference, and even though they have 1 less conference win I'm counting them as the top team.  I've decided that putting the teams into a bracket is futile until March.
1 Syracuse, Kentucky, Duke, North Carolina
2 Michigan State, Baylor, Kansas, Ohio State
3 Missouri, UNLV, Murray State, Florida
4 Georgetown, Creighton, Connecticut, Vanderbilt
5 Marquette, Indiana, Michigan, Virginia
6 Saint Mary’s, Temple, Gonzaga, Wisconsin
7 San Diego State, Mississippi State, Louisville, Kansas State
8 Florida State, Purdue, West Virginia, Illinois
9 Harvard, New Mexico, Alabama, Seton Hall
10 Memphis, Southern Miss, California, Wichita State
11 Minnesota, Xavier, Cincinnati, Dayton
12 Texas vs. Stanford, BYU vs. Oklahoma, Saint Louis, Iowa State
13 Belmont, Middle Tennessee, Long Beach State, Iona
14 Davidson, Oral Roberts, Akron, Cleveland State
15 Bucknell, Nevada, UT-Arlington, George Mason
16 Mississippi Valley State vs. UNC-Asheville, Long Island vs. Norfolk State, Stony Brook, Weber State

Last 4 in
BYU
Texas
Stanford
Oklahoma

First 4 out
Colorado State
North Carolina State
Northwestern
Arkansas
Next 4 out
Oregon
Marshall
UCF
LSU


That's all for now!

Friday, January 27, 2012

Bracketology 1/27/12

Hey,
It's been a few days, so I figured I should release another seed list. Remember, even lines are read right to left.

1 Syracuse, Kentucky, Kansas, Duke
2 Michigan State, Ohio State, Baylor, North Carolina
3 Missouri, UNLV, Georgetown, Connecticut
4 Vanderbilt, Creighton, Michigan, Murray State
5 Florida, Marquette, San Diego State, Indiana
6 Virginia, Kansas State, Wisconsin, Mississippi State
7 Gonzaga, Temple, West Virginia, Illinois,
8 Seton Hall, Wichita State, Louisville, Saint Mary’s
9 Florida State, Harvard, Purdue, New Mexico
10 California, Cincinnati, Alabama, Dayton
11 Xavier, Saint Louis, Memphis, Southern Miss
12 Minnesota vs. North Carolina State, Stanford vs. Northwestern, Texas, BYU
13 Belmont, Middle Tennessee, Iona, Oral Roberts
14 Long Beach State, Davidson, Akron, UW-Milwaukee
15 Nevada, UT-Arlington, George Mason, Weber State
16 Norfolk State vs. Mississippi Valley State,  LIU-Brooklyn vs. Stony Brook UNC-Asheville, Bucknell

Last 4 in
Minnesota
Stanford
Northwestern
North Carolina State
First 4 out
Oregon
Marshall
Arkansas
Iowa State
Next 4 out
LSU
UCF
Oklahoma
Colorado State

That's all for now.

Monday, January 23, 2012

Bracketology 1/23/12

No time for analysis today, just a speedy seed list and bracket. Remember (for the ten billionth time) even lines are read right to left. Seed list first:

1 Syracuse, Kentucky, Kansas, Duke
2 Ohio State, Baylor, North Carolina, Missouri
3 Michigan State, UNLV, Georgetown, Connecticut
4 Vanderbilt, Marquette, Creighton, Murray State
5 Michigan, Florida, Indiana, West Virginia
6 Gonzaga, Mississippi State, Kansas State, San Diego State
7 Wisconsin, Illinois, Seton Hall, Virginia,
8 Dayton, Wichita State, Louisville, Saint Mary’s
9 Temple, Florida State, Alabama, Harvard
10 New Mexico, Cincinnati, Xavier, Purdue
11 California, Memphis, Stanford, Minnesota
12 Marshall vs. BYU, North Carolina State vs. Texas, Saint Louis, Southern Miss
13 Belmont, Middle Tennessee, Iona, Oral Roberts
14 Long Beach State, Davidson, Akron, UW-Milwaukee
15 Nevada, UT-Arlington, George Mason, Weber State
16 Norfolk State vs. Mississippi Valley State,  LIU-Brooklyn vs. Stony Brook UNC-Asheville, Bucknell

Last 4 in
North Carolina State
BYU
Marshall
Texas


First 4 out
Northwestern
Iowa State
Oregon
Northern Iowa

Next 4 out
LSU
Oklahoma
Arizona
UCF

And now, the bracket:


East Region (Boston)


Pittsburgh
1 Syracuse vs. 16 Norfolk State/Mississippi Valley State
8 Wichita State vs. 9 Temple


Portland
4 Michigan vs. 13 Belmont
5 West Virginia vs. 12 Marshall/BYU


Columbus
3 Michigan State vs. 14 Akron
6 Mississippi State vs. 11 California


Albuquerque
2 Baylor vs. 15 Nevada
7 Virginia vs. 10 New Mexico


Midwest Region (Saint Louis)


Louisville
1 Kentucky vs. 16 Long Island/Stony Brook
8 Dayton vs. 9 Florida State


Portland
4 Marquette vs. 13 Middle Tennessee
5 Vanderbilt vs. 12 North Carolina State/Texas


Albuquerque
3 UNLV vs. 14 UW-Milwaukee
6 Wisconsin vs. 11 Memphis


Pittsburgh
2 Ohio State vs. 15 UT-Arlington
7 Gonzaga vs. 10 Cincinnati


South Region (Atlanta)


Omaha
1 Kansas vs. 16 UNC-Asheville
8 Louisville vs. 9 Alabama


Nashville
4 Creighton vs. 13 Iona
5 Indiana vs. 12 Saint Louis


Columbus
3 Georgetown vs. 14 Davidson
6 Kansas State vs. 11 Stanford


Greensboro
2 North Carolina vs. 15 George Mason
7 Illinois vs. 10 Xavier


West Region (Phoenix)


Greensboro
1 Duke vs. 16 Bucknell
8 Saint Mary's vs. 9 Harvard


Nashville
4 Murray State vs. 13 Oral Roberts
5 Florida vs. 12 Southern Miss


Louisville
3 Connecticut vs. 14 Long Beach State
6 San Diego State vs. 11 Minnesota


Omaha
2 Missouri vs. 15 Weber State
7 Seton Hall vs. 10 Purdue


Whew! That's all for this post.


Ivar



Sunday, January 22, 2012

Bracketology 1/22/11

It's been a little over 10 days since my first bracketology, so I figured I'd re-evaluate some teams as well as make changes based on results. If I have time, I'll put up the bracket form in addition to the seed list. But I think I'll opt for some analysis instead today. Seed list first (remember the even lines are read right to left):

1 Syracuse (East), Kentucky (South), Kansas (Midwest), Duke (West)
2 Ohio State, Baylor, North Carolina, Missouri
3 Michigan State, UNLV, Georgetown, Connecticut
4 Vanderbilt, Marquette, Creighton, Murray State
5 Michigan, Florida, Indiana, West Virginia
6 Virginia, Illinois, Kansas State, San Diego State
7 Mississippi State, Gonzaga, Seton Hall, Wisconsin
8 Dayton, Wichita State, Louisville, Saint Mary’s
9 Temple, Florida State, Alabama, Harvard
10 New Mexico, Cincinnati, Xavier, Purdue
11 California, Memphis, Stanford, Southern Miss
12 Saint Louis vs. Northwestern, Minnesota vs. BYU, Marshall, North Carolina State
13 Belmont, Middle Tennessee, Iona, Oral Roberts
14 Long Beach State, Davidson, Akron, UW-Milwaukee
15 Nevada, UT-Arlington, George Mason, Weber State
16 Norfolk State vs. Mississippi Valley State,  LIU-Brooklyn vs. Stony Brook UNC-Asheville, Bucknell

Last 4 in
Saint Louis
BYU
Minnesota
Northwestern


First 4 out
Northwestern
Iowa State
Oregon
Northern Iowa

Next 4 out
LSU
Oklahoma
Arizona
UCF

Bids by conference:
Big 10: 9 (3 barely in, 0 almost in)
Big East: 8 (1 barely in, 0 almost in)
ACC: 5 (1 barely in, 0 almost in)
SEC: 5 (0 barely in, 1 barely out)
Big 12: 4 (0 barely in, 3 barely out)
Atlantic 10: 4 (2 barely in, 0 barely out)
Conference USA: 3 (3 barely in, 1 barely out)
West Coast: 3 (1 barely in, 0 barely out)
Mountain West: 3 (1 barely in, 1 barely out)
Missouri Valley: 2 (0 barely in, 1 barely out)
Pac-12: 2 (2 barely in, 2 barely out)

One of the things I noticed while making my bracket in the car this morning was the flurry of activity around lines 9 through 11. I feel like I moved Xavier around maybe 10 times, it was pretty ridiculous. The Conference USA tournament could be very interesting this year as they could have 0 locks or near-locks and 4 bubble teams heading into the tournament. New this post is the barely in category (seeds 10-12) and the barely out category (first 8 out). The Big 12 has 3 of the top 8 teams (Missouri, Baylor and Kansas) and 3 of the first 8 out (Texas, Oklahoma and Iowa State). Shockingly 10 out of the 37 at-large bids are currently going to mid-majors.

That's all for now, see you guys later.






Thursday, January 19, 2012

Bracketology 1/19/12

No real time for analysis this morning, really hectic day ahead. Remember to read the seed list snaking (even lines read right to left, odd read left to right) Here we go:

1 Syracuse, Kentucky, Duke, Kansas
2 Georgetown, Ohio State, Baylor, North Carolina
3 Missouri, Michigan State, Florida, Kansas State
4 Gonzaga, UNLV, Connecticut, Murray State
5 Michigan, Vanderbilt, Marquette, San Diego State
6 Creighton, Virginia, Illinois, Indiana
7 Wisconsin, West Virginia, Mississippi State, Saint Mary’s
8 Wichita State, Seton Hall, Louisville, Alabama
9 Purdue, Temple, Harvard, Stanford
10 North Carolina State, Cincinnati, New Mexico, Dayton
11 Marshall, Florida State, Memphis, BYU
12 California vs. Southern Miss, Minnesota vs. Northwestern, Saint Louis, Texas
13 Belmont, Middle Tennessee, Iona, Oral Roberts
14 Davidson, Akron, UT-Arlington, Long Beach State
15 Nevada, UW-Milwaukee, George Mason, Weber State,
16 Norfolk State vs. Mississippi Valley State,  LIU-Brooklyn vs. Albany UNC-Asheville, Bucknell

Last 4 in
Southern Miss
California
Minnesota
Xavier
First 4 out
Northwestern
Iowa State
Oklahoma
Virginia Tech
Next 4 out
LSU
Colorado State
Northern Iowa
Arizona

Sunday, January 15, 2012

Bracketology 1/16/12

Here's my seed list through Sunday's games (so it's dated 1/16). There are a lot of changes, most notably UNC falling from #1 overall to a 2 seed with a huge loss to Florida State. The Seminoles go from last team in to the 11 line. I changed the small-conference teams in the bracket to represent the current conference leaders. Another new change is the addition of the Next Four Out. 2 things to keep in mind:
1) The seeds in the seed list are the "real seeds". Some teams have their seeds changed for the bracket for bracketing purposes (such as keeping teams from the same conference seperate.)
2) The bracket is read snaking (so odd lines run left to right and even lines run right to left.) 


First up, the seed list.
1 Syracuse, Kentucky, Duke, Baylor
2 Ohio State, Michigan State, North Carolina, Kansas
3 Georgetown, Missouri, Connecticut, Florida
4 UNLV, Kansas State, Indiana, Murray State
5 Gonzaga, Vanderbilt, Illinois, Michigan
6 Marquette, San Diego State, Virginia, Mississippi State
7 Creighton, Seton Hall, Saint Mary’s, Louisville
8 Purdue, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Alabama
9 Temple, Wichita State, New Mexico, Harvard
10 Memphis, Marshall, Dayton, Stanford
11 North Carolina State, Florida State, BYU, Cincinnati
12 Minnesota vs. Southern Miss, California vs. Northwestern, Saint Louis, Texas
13 Belmont, Middle Tennessee, Iona, Oral Roberts
14 Davidson, Akron, UT-Arlington, Long Beach State
15 Nevada, UW-Milwaukee, George Mason, Weber State,
16 Norfolk State vs. Mississippi Valley State,  LIU-Brooklyn vs. Albany UNC-Asheville, Bucknell

Last 4 in
Northwestern
Southern Miss
California
Minnesota


First 4 out
Xavier
Oklahoma
Iowa State
Virginia Tech


Next 4 out
LSU
Northern Iowa
Colorado State
Arizona



Now, the bracket.


East Region (Boston)


Pittsburgh
1 Syracuse vs. 16 Norfolk State/Mississippi Valley State
8 Purdue vs. 9 Temple


Albuquerque
4 UNLV vs. 5 Vanderbilt
12 Minnesota/Cincinnati vs. 13 Belmont


Columbus
3 Ohio State vs. 14 Davidson
6 Virginia vs. 11 BYU


Omaha
2 Missouri vs. 15 UW-Milwaukee
7 Creighton vs. 10 Memphis


South Region (Atlanta)


Louisville
1 Kentucky vs. 16 Long Island/Albany
8 West Virginia vs. 9 Wichita State


Portland
4 Kansas State vs. 13 Middle Tennessee
5 Gonzaga vs. 12 California/Northwestern


Pittsburgh
3 Georgetown vs. 14 Akron
6 San Diego State vs. 11 Florida State


Columbus
2 Michigan State vs. 15 Nevada
7 Seton Hall vs. 10 Marshall


Midwest Region (Saint Louis)


Greensboro
1 Duke vs. 16 UNC-Asheville
8 Wisconsin vs. 9 New Mexico


Nashville
4 Murray State vs. 13 Iona
5 Illinois vs. 12 Southern Miss


Nashville
3 Florida vs. 14 UT-Arlington
6 Marquette vs. 11 North Carolina State


Omaha
2 Kansas vs. 15 George Mason
7 Saint Mary's vs. 10 Dayton


West Region (Phoenix)


Albuquerque
1 Baylor vs. 16 Bucknell
8 Alabama vs. 9 Harvard


Portland
4 Indiana vs. 13 Oral Roberts
5 Mississippi State vs. 12 Saint Louis


Louisville
3 Connecticut vs. 14 Long Beach State
6 Michigan vs. 11 Texas


Greensboro
2 North Carolina vs. 15 Weber State
7 Louisville vs. 10 Stanford


Multi-bid confrences:


Big Ten: 9
Big East: 8
Big 12: 5
SEC: 5
ACC: 5
Conference USA: 3
Mountain West: 3
Atlantic 10: 3
West Coast: 3
Pac-12: 2
Missouri Valley: 2


That's all for now. I might make another post tonight... maybe not.

Thursday, January 12, 2012

Bracketology 1/12/12

Here's my bracket for today. Florida State takes Iowa State's spot in the First Four. Northwestern remains in despite an overtime loss, mainly due to other teams's blunders. And, regions+ first round sites are here today!
First, the seed list (remember, you read it snaking, so the odd lines run left to right and the even lines right to left):
1 North Carolina, Syracuse, Kentucky, Michigan State
2 Kansas, Baylor, Duke, Indiana
3 Georgetown, Ohio State, UNLV, Missouri
4 Gonzaga, Kansas State, Michigan, Connecticut
5 Seton Hall, Florida, Murray State, Vanderbilt
6 Marquette, Virginia, Creighton, Illinois
7 Alabama, Louisville, San Diego State, Mississippi State
8 West Virginia, Temple, Purdue, Saint Mary’s
9 Wisconsin, New Mexico, Wichita State, Harvard
10 Memphis, Stanford, Marshall, Dayton
11 Texas, North Carolina State, BYU, Cincinnati
12 California vs. Northwestern, Xavier vs. Florida State, Southern Miss, Saint Louis
13 Iona, Ohio, Oral Roberts, Belmont
14 George Mason, Davidson, Middle Tennessee, Long Beach State
15 Nevada, Bucknell, Lamar, Cleveland State,
16 UNC-Asheville vs. Stony Brook LIU-Brooklyn vs. Texas Southern Norfolk State, Weber State
A quick note about seeding first. The seeds above are the "true seeds". Some teams have had their seeds switched below (e.x. Illinois and Vanderbilt) for bracketing purposes (no re-matches, keep teams in the same conference apart, etc.)
Now, the bracket:


SOUTH REGION


Greensboro
1 North Carolina vs. 16 UNC-Asheville/Stony Brook
8 West Virginia vs. 9 Wisconsin 

Portland
4 Gonzaga vs. 13 Iona
5 Seton Hall vs. 12 Northwestern/Xavier 


Nashville
3 Ohio State vs. 14 George Mason
6 Virginia vs. 11 Texas


Omaha
2 Kansas vs. 15 Nevada
7 Alabama vs. 10 Stanford


WEST REGION


Columbus
1 Michigan State vs. 16 Weber State
8 Saint Mary's vs. 9 Harvard


Columbus
4 Connecticut vs. 13 Belmont
5 Illinois vs. 12 Saint Louis


Omaha
3 Missouri vs. 14 Long Beach State
6 Vanderbilt vs. 11 Cincinnati


Greensboro
2 Duke vs. 15 Cleveland State
7 San Diego State vs. 10 Marshall


EAST REGION


Pittsburgh
1 Syracuse vs. 16 LIU-Brooklyn/Texas Southern
8 Temple vs. 9 Wichita State


Nashville
4 Michigan vs. 13 Ohio
5 Florida vs. 12 California/Florida State


Albuquerque
3 UNLV vs. 14 Davidson
6 Marquette vs. 11 North Carolina State


Albuquerque
2 Baylor vs. 15 Bucknell
7 Mississippi State vs. 10 Memphis


MIDWEST REGION


Louisville
1 Kentucky vs. 16 Norfolk State
8 Purdue vs. 9 New Mexico


Portland
4 Kansas State vs. 13 Oral Roberts
5 Murray State vs. 12 Southern Miss


Pittsburgh
3 Georgetown vs. 14 Middle Tennessee
6 Creighton vs. 11 BYU


Louisville
2 Indiana vs. 15 Lamar
7 Louisville vs. 10 Dayton

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Bracketology is back!

My bracketology is back! I should be updating my bracket 2-3 times a week (hopefully more.) I'll also be listed in the Bracket Matrix (http://bracketproject.50webs.com/matrix.htm) this year. If I have time tonight, I'll add a full bracket (with 1st+2nd round sites). But for now, here's a seed list. The seed list snakes, meaning that the best team on odd lines is on the left and the best team on even lines is on the right. This means you can read straight down a column to see a 16-team region. If there's a glaring mistake, please notify me in the comments. This bracket is dated 1/11/12 which means it includes Tuesday's games.



1 North Carolina, Syracuse, Kentucky, Michigan State
2 Kansas, Baylor, Duke, Indiana
3 Georgetown, Ohio State, UNLV, Missouri
4 Michigan, Gonzaga, Kansas State, Connecticut
5 Seton Hall, Florida, Murray State, Vanderbilt
6 Marquette, Virginia, Creighton, Illinois
7 Louisville, San Diego State, Alabama, Mississippi State
8 Wisconsin, West Virginia, Purdue, Saint Mary’s
9 Dayton, Temple, New Mexico, Wichita State
10 Texas, Stanford, Marshall, Harvard
11 Saint Louis, North Carolina State, Memphis, BYU
12 California vs. Northwestern, Xavier vs. Iowa State, Southern Miss, Cincinnati
13 Iona, Ohio, Oral Roberts, Belmont
14 George Mason, Davidson, Middle Tennessee, Long Beach State
15 Nevada, Bucknell, Lamar, Cleveland State,
16 UNC-Asheville vs. Stony Brook LIU-Brooklyn vs. Texas Southern Norfolk State, Weber State




Last 4 in
Xavier
Iowa State
California
Northwestern

First 4 out
Florida State
LSU
Minnesota

Arizona