Sunday, January 27, 2013

Bracketology 1/28/13

Well, I'm back with another seed list! Bracket may accompany tomorrow. Few things I'd like to mention:
1) Don't forget the seed list snakes. This means that it's like an s-curve, the top 2 seed is Indiana, the top 4 is New Mexico, etc.

2) I turned the Next 4 out section into the Next 7 out. The number of teams in that section will vary, it's sort of an "also considered" list.
3) Bubble teams just keep losing. Boise State and Temple are now in very precarious positions after losses. La Salle gets 2 huge wins against the top of the A-10 to become an 11 seed, Iowa State gets a big win over Kansas State as well. Wyoming is in a precarious position after a 2-3 start to conference play. 
4) I made some re-evaluations. I realized Memphis' resume sucks, for example, and Belmont's resume is better.
5) A quick, random note about BYU and Southern Miss. How can so many people have Southern Miss in and BYU out? Their resumes are practically identical, save the fact the Golden Eagles lost @ New Mexico State. Furthermore, BYU's conference is better.
6) Before you say "Put Villanova in! They beat Syracuse and Louisvlle!" I present to you Columbia and Providence.
7) Yes, I know Midlde Tennessee is in my bracket AND on my "First 4 Out" list. Their placement on the First 4 Out list is where they would be if they were not an auto-bid.
1: Michigan, Kansas, Florida, Duke
2: Syracuse, Miami (FL), Gonzaga, Indiana 
3: Arizona, Butler, Louisville, Michigan State
4: Ohio State, Cincinnati, Oregon, New Mexico
5: Minnesota, North Carolina StateSan Diego State, Creighton, 
6: UCLA, Marquette, Kansas State, UNLV
7: VCU, Missouri, Wisconsin, Colorado State 
8: Notre Dame, Mississippi, Georgetown, Wichita State
9: Oklahoma State, Colorado, Oklahoma, Baylor
10: North Carolina, Illinois, Belmont, Pittsburgh
11: Wyoming, Memphis, Iowa State, La Salle
12: Middle Tennessee, (BYU/Iowa), (Boise State/Kentucky), Temple
13: Bucknell, Louisiana Tech, Stephen F Austin, Akron
14: Davidson, Harvard, North Dakota State, Valparaiso
15: Northeastern, Niagara, Stony Brook, Long Beach State
16: (Florida Gulf Coast/Robert Morris), (North Carolina Central/Charleston Southern), Southern, Montana


Last Four Byes:
Wyoming
Iowa State
La Salle
Temple

Last Four In:
Iowa
Kentucky
Boise State
BYU

First Four Out:
Indiana State
Middle Tennessee
Saint Mary's
Maryland

Next Seven Out:
Southern Mississippi
Arizona State
Saint John's
Saint Louis
Charlotte
Villanova

Bids by Conference:
Big 10: 8
Big East: 7
Mountain West: 6
Big 12: 6

Atlantic 10: 4
SEC: 4
ACC: 4
Pac-12: 4

West Coast: 2
Missouri Valley: 2

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Bracketology 1/23/13

Bracket and seed list this time! Note that some teams had to switch seed lines in the bracket to maintain bracketing principles (Georgetown/Mississippi)

East Region (Washington DC):


Lexington

1 Duke vs. 16 (Mercer/Bryant)
8 Missouri vs. 9 Oklahoma State
Austin
4 Cincinnati vs. 13 Akron
5 Ohio State vs. 12 Stephen F. Austin
San Jose
3 Gonzaga vs. 14 Davidson
6 Colorado State vs. 11 Memphis
Dayton 
2 Indiana vs. 15 Niagara
7 Marquette vs. 10 Colorado


West Region (Los Angeles):

Austin

1 Florida vs. 16 Weber State
8 Notre Dame vs. 9 Illinois
Philadelphia
4 VCU vs. 13 Louisiana Tech
5 UNLV vs. 12 (Indiana State/Iowa State)
Kansas City
3 Minnesota vs. 14 Valparaiso
6 Miami (FL) vs. 11 Belmont
San Jose
2 Arizona vs. 15 Pacific
7 San Diego State vs. 10 Oklahoma

Midwest Region (Indianapolis):

Auburn Hills

1 Michigan vs. 16 (North Carolina Central/Charleston Southern)
8 Pittsburgh vs. 9 North Carolina
Salt Lake City
4 Creighton vs. 13 Middle Tennessee
5 Kansas State vs. 12 Boise State
Lexington
3 Louisville vs. 14 Northeastern 
6 UCLA vs. 11 Baylor
Dayton
2 Butler vs. 15 Stony Brook 
7 Mississippi vs. 10 Wisconsin


South Region (Arlington):


Kansas City

1 Kansas vs. 16 Southern 
8 Georgetown vs. 9 Wyoming
Auburn Hills
4 Michigan State vs. 13 Bucknell
5 Oregon vs. 12 (Kentucky/Saint Mary's)
Salt Lake City
3 New Mexico vs. 14 North Dakota State
6 North Carolina State vs. 11 Iowa
Philadelphia
2 Syracuse vs. 15 Harvard
7 Wichita State vs. 10 Temple 

Remember that the seed list snakes (read down for a region).
1: Duke, Michigan, Kansas, Florida, 
2: Butler, Indiana, Arizona,  Syracuse
3: Gonzaga,  Louisville, New Mexico, Minnesota, 
4: Cincinnati, VCU, Creighton, Michigan State, 
5: Ohio State, Oregon, Kansas State, UNLV
6: UCLA, North Carolina State, Colorado State, Miami (FL)
7: San Diego State, Georgetown, Wichita State, Marquette
8: Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Mississippi, Missouri, 
9: Oklahoma State, Illinois, Wyoming, North Carolina
10: Oklahoma, Wisconsin, Temple, Colorado
11: Memphis, Iowa, Baylor, Belmont
12: Stephen F Austin, Indiana State/Iowa State, Kentucky/Saint Mary's, Boise State
13: Akron, Middle Tennessee, Bucknell, Louisiana Tech
14: Davidson, Northeastern, North Dakota State, Valparaiso

15: Niagara, Stony Brook, Harvard, Pacific
16: (Mercer/Bryant) (North Carolina Central/Charleston Southern), Southern, Weber State


Last Four In:
Kentucky
Iowa State
Indiana State
Saint Mary's

First Four Out:
BYU
Saint Louis
Maryland
Arizona State

Next Four Out:

Murray State
Rutgers
Washington

Saint John's

Bids by Conference:
Big 10: 8

Big East: 7
Mountain West: 6

Big 12: 6
SEC: 4
ACC: 4
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 3
Missouri Valley: 3
West Coast: 2


Monday, January 21, 2013

Bracketology 1/21/13

Well, certainly some changes this time around. Florida gets the last #1 seed, and the Iowa hate coming from the crowd is now at a deafening roar. Saint Louis suffered a bad loss at home to Rhode Island, Boise fell to Air Force in a game they shouldn't have. Lots of other bubble teams faltered, leading the way for Saint Mary's and Indiana State to sneak into the bracket.

1: Duke, Michigan, Kansas, Florida
2: 
Indiana, Arizona,  Syracuse, Louisville 
3: Butler, Gonzaga, New Mexico, Minnesota, 
4: VCU, Kansas State, Creighton, North Carolina State
5: Cincinnati, Michigan State, Ohio State, Oregon, 
6: UCLA, Notre Dame, Illinois, UNLV, 
7: Miami (FL), Oklahoma State, San Diego State, Wichita State
8: Memphis, Wyoming, Missouri, Colorado State
9: Mississippi, Georgetown, Wisconsin, Pittsburgh
10: Temple, Colorado, Marquette, North Carolina
11: Oklahoma, Kentucky, Iowa, Belmont, 
12: North Dakota State, Indiana State/Iowa State, Baylor/Saint Mary's, Boise State 
13: Stephen F Austin, Akron, Middle Tennessee, Bucknell
14: Davidson, Northeastern, Denver, Valparaiso
15: NiagaraStony Brook, Harvard, Pacific
16: (Mercer/Bryant) (North Carolina Central/Charleston Southern), Southern, Weber State

Last Four In:
Baylor
Iowa State
Indiana State
Saint Mary's

First Four Out:
Murray State
BYU
Maryland
Arizona State

Next Four Out:
Rutgers
Washington
Virginia
Saint Louis

Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 8
Big East: 7
Mountain West: 6
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
ACC: 4
Pac 12: 4
Atlantic 10: 4
Missouri Valley: 2

Sunday, January 20, 2013

NFL Picks Week 20

Game 1: San Francisco @ Atlanta +4
I'm short on time here so I will be brief. San Francisco is really, really good. Kaepernick is once of the best young QB's to come around in a while. I think they'll win this game, they're better in all aspects of the ball. Atlanta looked awful against Seattle last week, especially their secondary. However, I can't pick against Atlanta because I've never seen a one seed get this much disrespect. It's ridiculous. Both teams have very good offenses, the over is the play here.
San Francisco -4 (0 units) +-$0
Over 48 (1 unit) +$100

Game 2: Baltimore @ New England -7.5
The Ravens have the "team of destiny" label on them as they're on Ray Lewis' retirement tour. They are quite a solid team, and don't be surprised to see me taking the over on their overall wins in my futures next year (a long with a big wager on under for the Eagles). New England has the experience of winning this game. I considered placing a unit on the Ravens, but I can't go against either team in this spot.
Baltimore +7.5 (0 units) +$0
Under 50 (0 units) +$0

NFL Picks Week 20: +$100 (1 unit)
NFL Picks 2012: +$4792 (47.92 units)

Friday, January 18, 2013

Bracketology 1/18/13

1: Duke, Louisville, Michigan, Kansas, 
2: Indiana, Arizona, FloridaGonzaga, 
3: Syracuse, New Mexico, Ohio State, UNLV
4: Butler, North Carolina State, Creighton, Minnesota, 
5: VCU, Kansas State, Cincinnati, Michigan State 
6: Georgetown, Oregon, San Diego State, UCLA
7: Missouri, Illinois, Notre Dame, Miami (FL)
8: Wisconsin, Memphis, Oklahoma State, North Carolina, 
9: Marquette, Temple, Wichita State, Colorado State
10: 
Pittsburgh, Colorado, Oklahoma, Mississippi
11: Kentucky, Wyoming, Boise State, Belmont
12: North Dakota State, Maryland/Iowa State, Iowa/Saint Louis, Baylor, 
13: Akron, Middle Tennessee, Valparaiso, Bucknell
14: Stephen F Austin, Iona, Davidson, Northeastern
15: Stony Brook, Harvard, Louisiana Tech, Weber State, 
16: (Florida Gulf Coast/Southern) (North Carolina Central/Charleston Southern) Cal State Fullerton, Bryant


Last Four In:
Iowa State
Saint Louis
Iowa
Maryland

First Four Out:
Indiana State
Murray State
Washington
Rutgers

Next Four Out:
Arizona State
Texas A&M
Charlotte
BYU


Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 8
Big East: 7
Mountain West: 6
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
ACC: 4
Pac 12: 4
Atlantic 10: 4
Missouri Valley: 2

Wednesday, January 16, 2013

College Basketball Picks: Jan 16-31

College Basketball Picks 2013: +$1020 (10.2 units)
College Basketball Picks Jan 16-30: +$615 (+6.15 units)
1/31
Arizona State @ Washington State -3.5
The Sun Devils are an aspiring tourney team. The Cougars are not. I don't get this line.
Arizona State +3.5 (1 unit) +$100
1/30
Oklahoma @ Baylor -7
I don't get this line. Oklahoma is slightly better than Baylor, so why is Baylor 3 points better?
Oklahoma +7 (1 unit) +$100
Missouri @ LSU +4.5
I don't care if Bowers might not play. As previously established, LSU sucks.
Missouri -4.5 (1 unit) -$110
Oregon @ Stanford -2
This is another one that is too good to be too good to be true. Oregon is more than 2 points better than Stanford, surely.
Oregon +2 (1.5 units) -$165
1/29
North Carolina State @ Virginia -5
Yes, NC State is the obvious pick, but this is just too good to be too good to be true.
North Carolina State +5 (1.5 units) +$150
North Carolina @ Boston College +4
Boston College sucks. Really really bad. North Carolina is more than 8 points better than them.
North Carolina -4 (1 unit) +$100
Nevada @ UNLV -13.5
There is not a single bad team in the Mountain West. Nobody in this league should be getting 13.5 in conference play.
Nevada +13.5 (1 unit) +$100
1/28
Pittsburgh @ Louisville -6
Over reaction much? Louisville is still a solid team, and Pittsburgh is overrated.
Louisville -6 (1 unit) -$110
1/27
Iowa @ Purdue -2
The Hawkeyes need this game, and they'll pull it out against an up-and-down Purdue team.
Iowa +2 (1 unit) -$110
Florida State @ Miami (FL) -9
Florida State is another up-and-down team. Miami is more than 5 points better than them.
Miami (FL) -9 (1 unit) +$100
1/26
I'd like to give a big thank you to all of you guys for helping this blog reach 10,000 pageviews!
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State -9.5
I really don't get why everyone hates Oklahoma State. They're a solid, middle of the road tam.
Oklahoma State -9.5 (1 unit) +$100
Northern Iowa @ Indiana State PK
Whoa, whoa, whoa. How is Indiana State 3 points worse than Northern Iowa?
Indiana State PK (1.5 units) +$150
Kansas State @ Iowa State -4
The Wildcats are significantly better than the Cyclones. I don't get this line.
Kansas State +4 (1 unit) -$110
LSU @ Kentucky -16
Kentucky is not routinely beating the bottom of the SEC by 16 points.
LSU +16 (1 unit) +$100
North Carolina @ North Carolina State -4.5
Everyone is overreacting to NC State dropping 2 in a row. The Wake Forest loss was flukey.
North Carolina State -4.5 (1 unit) +$100
Air Force @ Wyoming -6.5
Wyoming is still a solid team, and they're more than 2 points better than Air Force.
Wyoming -6.5 (1 unit) -$110
1/25
I've got nothing today.
1/24
Stanford @ Colorado -4
The Buffaloes are my only play today. They're not getting enough respect and Stanford is blegh.
Colorado -4 (1 unit) +$100
1/23
Butler @ La Salle -2.5
Butler has proven their ability to play without Rotnei Clarke. I don't get this line.
Butler +2.5 (1.5 units) +$150
Texas A&M @ LSU -1.5
Texas A&M is considerably better than one of the worst teams in the SEC.
Texas A&M +1.5 (1 unit) -$110
Indiana State @ Illinois State -8
What's up with all the Sycamores hate! They're a tourney team.
Indiana State +8 (1 unit) +$100
Saint John's @ Rutgers -4.5
The Johnnies are better than Rutgers.
Saint John's +4.5 (1 unit) +$100
1/22
Pittsburgh @ Providence +6.5
The Panthers are one of the more underrated teams in the country, and they'll beat Providence by a lot.
Pittsburgh -6.5 (1 unit) -$110
Tulane @ Memphis -14
Memphis has no incentive to keep killing these crappy C-USA teams.
Tulane +14 (1 unit) +$100
Illinois @ Nebraska +5.5
I'm telling you guys, Nebraska is a solid team. Illinois has had lots of trouble lately in "easy" games like this.
Nebraska +5.5 (1 unit) -$110
1/21
Oklahoma State @ Baylor -4.5
How on earth is Baylor better than the Cowboys?
Oklahoma State +4.5 (1 unit) -$110
Texas @ Oklahoma -7
Despite staying close against Kansas, Texas is not a good team. Oklahoma will blow them out of the water.
Oklahoma -7 (1 unit) -$110
1/20
Nothing really appeals to me today with only 8 games. Plus, I don't want to lose money on my birthday!
1/19
Connecticut @ Pittsburgh -9
The Huskies are pretty comparable to Pittsburgh. I don't get this line.
Connecticut +9 (1 unit) +$100

Nebraska @ Penn State -4
Nebraska can play very solid basketball, and Penn State is the worst team in the Big 10 by a wide margin.
Nebraska +4 (1.5 units) +$150

Creighton @ Wichita State -2.5
Creighton is much better than people give them credit for. I think they'll win this by a solid amount.
Creighton +2.5 (1 unit) -$110

Oregon @ UCLA -5.5
In what universe is UCLA 2.5 points better than Oregon?
Oregon +5.5 (1 unit) +$100


Boise State @ Air Force +3
This is a very good bounce back spot for Boise after the home loss to New Mexico.
Boise State -3 (1 unit) -$110

Texas A&M @ Alabama -7.5
What? How is A&M worse than Alabama (who lost to Tulane). 
Texas A&M +7.5 (1.5 units) +$150

1/18
I've got no picks today on the short Friday schedule.

1/17
South Florida @ Rutgers -5
Rutgers is quite underrated and I think they'll beat down South Florida.
Rutgers -5 (1 unit) -$110
Northwestern @ Illinois -10.5
Northwestern is not this bad and the Illini are terribly inconsistent.
Northwestern +10.5 (1 unit) +$100 

1/16
Dayton @ La Salle -5
These teams are pretty even, in fact I think Dayton may be a smidge better.
Dayton +5 (1 unit) +$100

North Carolina State @ Maryland -2
Tough road game against a desperate team or not, North Carolina state is more than 2 points better than Maryland (assuming 4 points for home/road)
North Carolina State +2 (1 unit) +$100

Saint Mary's @ BYU -5
BYU needs this game. They're 4 points or so better than Saint Mary's on a neutral court.
BYU -5 (1 unit) 
-$110

Colorado @ Washington -4.5
People need to stop piling on the Colorado hate. They're one of the most underrated teams in the country.
Colorado +4.5 (1 unit) -$110

Bracketology 1/16/13

1: Duke, Louisville, Kansas, Michigan
2: 
North Carolina State, FloridaArizona, Gonzaga, 
3: Indiana, Syracuse, Minnesota, Ohio State
4: VCU,  Butler, New Mexico, Creighton
5: Georgetown, UNLV
Kansas State, Cincinnati, 
6: 
UCLA, Michigan State, Illinois, San Diego State 
7: Oregon, Miami (FL), Missouri, Notre Dame
8: Memphis, Oklahoma State, North Carolina, Colorado
9: Marquette, Temple, Wisconsin, Wyoming
10: Pittsburgh, Mississippi, Boise State, Wichita State, 
11: 
Kentucky, Colorado State, Oklahoma, Belmont
12: North Dakota State, BYU/Iowa State, Iowa/Texas A&M, Baylor, 
13: Akron, Middle Tennessee, Valparaiso, Bucknell
14: 
Stephen F Austin, Iona, Davidson, Northeastern
15: Stony Brook, Harvard, Louisiana Tech, Weber State, 
16: (Florida Gulf Coast/Southern) (North Carolina Central/UNC-Asheville) Cal State Fullerton, Bryant


Last Four In:
Iowa
BYU
Iowa State
Texas A&M

First Four Out:
Saint Louis
Maryland
Indiana State
Murray State

Next Four Out:
Rutgers
Arizona State
Charlotte
Washington

Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 8
Big East: 7
Mountain West: 6
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
ACC: 4
Pac 12: 4
Atlantic 10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

Monday, January 14, 2013

Bracketology 1/14/13

Practically the same as yesterday's. Obviously some changes (Michigan/OSU, among others).

1: Duke, Louisville, Kansas, Michigan
2: FloridaArizona, Gonzaga, Indiana
3: North Carolina State, Syracuse, Minnesota, Ohio State
4: VCU,  Butler, New Mexico, Creighton
5: Georgetown, Cincinnati, UNLVNotre Dame
6: Michigan State, Illinois, San Diego State, Kansas State
7: UCLA, Oregon, Miami (FL), Missouri
8: Memphis, Oklahoma State, North Carolina, Colorado
9: Marquette, Temple, Wisconsin, Wyoming
10: Pittsburgh, Mississippi, Boise State, Wichita State, 
11: Colorado State, Oklahoma, Baylor, Kentucky
12: North Dakota State, BYU/Iowa State, Iowa/Texas A&M, Belmont
13: Akron, Middle Tennessee, Valparaiso, Bucknell

14: 
Stephen F Austin, Iona, Davidson, Northeastern
15: Stony Brook, Harvard, Louisiana Tech, Weber State, 
16: (Florida Gulf Coast/Southern) (North Carolina Central/UNC-Asheville) Cal State Fullerton, Bryant


Last Four In:
Iowa
BYU
Iowa State
Texas A&M

First Four Out:
Saint Louis
Maryland
Indiana State
Murray State

Next Four Out:
Rutgers
Arizona State
Tennessee
Charlotte

Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 8
Big East: 7
Mountain West: 6
Big 12: 6

SEC: 5
ACC: 4
Pac 12: 4
Atlantic 10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

Saturday, January 12, 2013

Bracketology 1/13/13

Few things that I want to mention:
1) I knew I was right about having Missouri so low. They really laid an egg today against Ole Miss. It wasn't competitive.
2) So many bubble teams squandered opportunities today. Saint Louis and Indiana State come to mind.
3) Well, Illinois State fell out of the bubble conversation pretty fast. They're now 0-5 in MVC play.
4) Texas A&M was the real bubble winner. They got a huge road win in Lexington and jumped from my 10th team out to my 2nd team out thanks to favorable results elsewhere. With the way bubble teams are playing, I would not be surprised to see them inn the bracket soon without playing another game.
5) I decided to drop Duke to my 2nd overall seed, but strongly considered keeping them ahead of Michigan. We'll see what happens in Columbus tomorrow.

1: Michigan, Duke, Louisville, Kansas
2: FloridaArizona, Gonzaga, Indiana
3: North Carolina State, Syracuse, Minnesota, Creighton
4: Ohio State, VCU,  Butler, New Mexico
5: Georgetown, Cincinnati, UNLVNotre Dame
6: Illinois, San Diego State, Michigan State, Kansas State
7: UCLA, Oregon, Missouri, Colorado
8: Oklahoma State, North Carolina, Wichita State, Miami (FL)
9: Memphis, Marquette, Temple, Wisconsin
10: Pittsburgh, Mississippi, Boise State, Wyoming, 
11: Colorado State, Oklahoma, Baylor, Kentucky
12: North Dakota State, BYU/Iowa State, Iowa/Maryland, Belmont
13: Akron, Middle Tennessee, Valparaiso, Bucknell

14: 
Stephen F Austin, Iona, Davidson, Northeastern
15: Stony Brook, Harvard, Louisiana Tech, Weber State, 
16: (Florida Gulf Coast/Southern) (North Carolina Central/UNC-Asheville) Cal State Fullerton, Bryant


Last Four In:
Maryland
BYU
Iowa State

Iowa

First Four Out:
Texas A&M
Saint Louis
Charlotte
Arizona State

Next Four Out:
Indiana State
Murray State
Seton Hall
Tennessee

Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 8
Big East: 7
Mountain West: 6
Big 12: 6

ACC: 5
SEC: 4

Pac 12: 4
Atlantic 10: 3
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

NFL Picks Week 19

Picks will go up later today (at least the Saturday games).
Game 1: Baltimore @ Denver -9
The Ravens are, in my opinion, the worst team remaining in the playoffs. However, they are still a very good football team and have lots of momentum behind them. Ray Rice can get the job done against the Broncos, and they certainly have a shot at winning this game. Denver is under a ton of pressure to succeed, a situation that the Broncos have not faced in the past few years. They were the underdog story last year, and I'm not sure they'll handle the shift in dynamic well. I'm going to place a unit on the visitor.
Baltimore +9 (1 unit) +$100
Game 2: Green Bay @ San Francisco -3
In my opinion, this is the best game of the weekend. I believe that whoever wins this game will be going to the Super Bowl, and will have a very good chance of winning the Super Bowl. The Packers have experience here, but will be playing in a very hostile road environment. However, it is not to be overlooked that Aaron Rodgers has playoff experience and Colin Kaepernick doesn't. The 49ers are also a very solid team, and haven't lost at home in almost 3 months. I think Green Bay would win this one if it was in Lambeau (which it would've been if they beat Minnesota Week 17). I'll go '9ers for 0 units.
San Francisco -3 (0 units) +$0
Game 3: Seattle @ Atlanta -3
Seattle is absolutely on fire. They have not lost since Thanksgiving weekend. I believe that the key to their success is Marshawn Lynch, not Russell Wilson. However, the ability to have 2 prolific runners in the backfield opens up so many options. They do have to play a 1:00 game on the East Coast, always a risky proposition. However, they killed Buffalo and Chicago in that dynamic. The Falcons stumbled their way into the playoffs, losing to the Bucaneers in Week 17. I certainly wouldn't be surprised to see Atlanta pull it out, but I'm placing 3 units on Seattle.
Seattle +3 (3 units) +$300
Game 4: Houston @ New England -9.5
The Texans looked very, very beatable last week against Cincinnati. The Texans backed their way into the playoffs even more so than Atlanta did, with no convincing wins since the Baltimore game. However, Matt Schaub is a very underestimated quarterback. New England has the moxie, and the quarterback, and the coach to make it to the Super Bowl, as I think they will (against San Fran). I would place two or three units on New England, but my gut is telling me not to. I think Foster may go off here, so I'll limit this play to 1 unit.
New England -9.5 (1 unit) +$100

Teasers/Pleasers/Props:
I'm feeling risky, so I'll play a pleaser for half a unit.
Ties Win Pleaser: Seattle -3.5, New England -15.5 (0.5 units) +600 -$55

NFL Week 19: +$445 (4.45 units)
NFL 2012: +$4692 (46.92 units)

Friday, January 11, 2013

Bracketology 1/11/13

Here's my bracket through the games of January 10th! No more major re-adjustments, just sliding teams up and down for wins and losses.

1: Duke, Michigan, Louisville, Kansas
2: 
Arizona, Minnesota, Indiana, Gonzaga
3: FloridaSyracuse, CreightonNew Mexico
4: VCU, Notre Dame, North Carolina State, Butler
5: Ohio State, UNLVKansas State, Illinois
6: Colorado,  Missouri, Cincinnati, Georgetown, 
7 : Michigan State, Oregon, Oklahoma State, San Diego State
8: UCLA, Wichita State, Pittsburgh, Miami (FL)
9: North Carolina, Memphis, KentuckyTemple
10: Marquette, Boise State, Colorado State, Wyoming, 
11: Baylor, Wisconsin, Belmont, Mississippi
12: North Dakota State, Saint Louis/Oklahoma, BYU/Iowa State, Maryland 
13: Akron, Detroit, 
Middle Tennessee, Bucknell

14: Louisiana Tech, Iona, Davidson, Northeastern
15: Harvard, Stony Brook, Weber State, Cal State Fullerton
16: (Stephen F Austin/Southern) (North Carolina Central/UNC-Asheville) Florida Gulf Coast, Wagner



Last Four In:
Oklahoma
Iowa State
Saint Louis
BYU

First Four Out:
Indiana State

Tennessee
Seton Hall
Charlotte

Next Four Out:

Iowa
Arizona State
Murray State
California