Friday, March 21, 2014

2014 96 Team Bracketology

There was discussion a couple of years back about expanding the tournament field to 96 teams. I decided to make a 96 team bracket for this year to see how it might wind up. I tried to stay as true to the real bracket as possible. The link to the bracket I created in Google Docs can be found here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjS9GJILd1GfdHFSVDExLTBMVFNjT0ZxU1VmLV8yaEE&usp=drive_web#gid=2

1: Florida, Arizona, Wichita State, Virginia
2: Kansas, Wisconsin, Michigan, Villanova
3: Syracuse, Creighton, Duke, Iowa State
4: UCLA, San Diego State, Louisville, Michigan State
5: VCU, Oklahoma, Saint Louis, Cincinnati
6: Ohio State, Baylor, Massachusetts, North Carolina
7: New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Connecticut
8: Colorado, Gonzaga, Kentucky, Memphis
9: Pittsburgh, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, George Washington
10: Stanford, BYU, Arizona State, St. Joseph's
11: Dayton, Nebraska, Tennessee, Providence
12: SMU, North Carolina State, Iowa, Xavier
13: Florida State, California, Minnesota, UW-Green Bay
14: Missouri, Southern Miss, North Dakota State, Arkansas
15: Louisiana Tech, St. John's, Georgetown, Harvard
16: Toledo, West Virginia, Marquette, Utah
17: Georgia, Illinois, Clemson, Stephen F. Austin
18: Belmont, Richmond, LSU, Maryland
19: Boise State, St. Bonaventure, Mississippi, Tulsa
20: Middle Tennessee, Indiana, Manhattan, St. Mary's
21: New Mexico State, Delaware, Western Michigan, Mercer
22: UW-Milwaukee, Eastern Kentucky, North Carolina Central, Louisiana-Lafayette
23: Wofford, American, Coastal Carolina, Weber State
24: Cal Poly, Texas Southern, Albany, Mount St. Mary's

Sunday, March 16, 2014

Bracketology 3/16/14 Evening

Notes:

1) This bracket is FINAL. No more changes will be made.
2) Remember that the seed list snakes. I don't have time to make a bracket right now.
3) Not doing a live blog for the selection show.

1: FloridaWichita State, Arizona, Villanova
2: Virginia, Wisconsin, Kansas, Michigan
3: Iowa State, Louisville, Michigan State, Duke
4: San Diego State, Cincinnati, Syracuse, Creighton
5: Oklahoma, UCLA, Connecticut, North Carolina
6: Saint Louis, New Mexico, Ohio State, VCU
7: Baylor, Massachusetts, Texas, George Washington
8: Oklahoma State, Gonzaga, Kentucky, Oregon
9: Colorado, St. Joseph's, Memphis, Pittsburgh
10: Providence, Dayton, Iowa, Stanford
11: Kansas State, Arizona State, Nebraska, (BYU/Tennessee)
12: Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota State, Harvard, (Xavier/SMU)
13: Tulsa, Manhattan, Delaware, Western Michigan
14: North Carolina Central, Eastern Kentucky, Mercer, New Mexico State 
15: American, Louisiana-Lafayette, UW-Milwaukee, Wofford
16: (Weber State/Cal Poly), (Texas Southern/Mount St. Mary's), Coastal Carolina, Albany

Should be In: Nebraska, Xavier, Tennessee
Bubble In: SMU, BYU
Bubble Out: Minnesota, California, Florida State, UW-Green Bay

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Bracketology 3/16/14 Morning

Notes:

1) This is my morning seed list, I'll post another one after all the conference championship games, which I'll label final. I'll try to put up a bracket as well as the seed list for both updates.
2) I'm feeling pretty good about the at-larges I've picked to be in. If any of the at-larges I have right now does not get in, my hunch would be that it's BYU, and that Cal is in for them.
3) Only things I might change not related to the games on Sunday is some seedings in the middle of the bracket. I haven't combed through the 6-10 area like I have the rest of the bracket.
4) I might do a live blog of the selection show on here. We'll see about that.
5) Remember that the seed list snakes, so you read the odd numbered lines left to right and the even numbered lines right to left. This means you can read down to find a region.

1: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Michigan
2: Duke, Wisconsin, Kansas, Villanova
3: Iowa State, Louisville, Creighton, Virginia
4: San Diego State, Cincinnati, Michigan State, Syracuse
5: Oklahoma, UCLA, VCU, Connecticut
6: Saint Louis, New Mexico, Ohio State, North Carolina
7: Baylor, Massachusetts, Texas, Kentucky,
8: Oklahoma State, GonzagaOregon, George Washington
9: Colorado, Memphis, Pittsburgh, Stanford
10: Providence, Dayton, Iowa, St. Joseph's
11: Kansas State, Arizona State, Nebraska, (BYU/Tennessee)
12: Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota StateHarvard, (Xavier/SMU)
13: Tulsa, Manhattan, Delaware, New Mexico State
14: Eastern Kentucky, Mercer, Georgia State, Western Michigan
15: North Carolina Central, American, UW-Milwaukee, Wofford
16: (Weber State/Cal Poly), (Texas Southern/Mount St. Mary's), Coastal Carolina, Albany

Should be In: Nebraska, Xavier
Bubble In: SMU, Tennessee, BYU
Bubble Out: Minnesota, California, Florida State, UW-Green Bay

Bracketology 3/15/14

After about 5 PM I'll keep this running throughout the day.

1: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Villanova
2: Duke, Michigan, Kansas, Wisconsin
3: Creighton, Iowa State, Syracuse, Virginia
4: Michigan State, Cincinnati, LouisvilleSan Diego State
5: Connecticut, Oklahoma, Ohio State, North Carolina
6: Massachusetts, Saint Louis, Baylor, VCU
7: Texas, UCLA, George Washington, Kentucky
8: Oklahoma State, GonzagaOregon, New Mexico
9: Iowa, Colorado, Memphis, Pittsburgh
10: Kansas State, Dayton, St. Joseph's, Stanford
11: Arizona State, Nebraska, Xavier, (BYU/Tennessee)
12: Toledo, Louisiana Tech, Harvard, (Providence/SMU)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Manhattan, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Mercer, New Mexico State, Georgia State
15: North Carolina Central, American, UW-Milwaukee, Stony Brook
16: (Weber State/Cal State Northridge), (Texas Southern/Mount St. Mary's), Coastal Carolina, Wofford

Should be In: Xavier, SMU
Bubble In: Tennessee, Providence, BYU
Bubble Out: Minnesota, California, Missouri, Arkansas, Florida State, UW-Green Bay

Friday, March 14, 2014

Bracketology 3/14/14

Last Update: 11:45 PM
Only games not included that may influence the seed list are Xavier/Creighton, Boise State/New Mexico, CSU-Bakersfield/New Mexico State, Stanford/UCLA and Cal State Northridge/Long Beach State. Full update will be (probably) posted in the morning.

1: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Villanova
2: Duke, Michigan, Kansas, Wisconsin
3: Creighton, Iowa State, Syracuse, Virginia
4: Michigan State, Cincinnati, LouisvilleSan Diego State
5: Connecticut, Oklahoma, Ohio State, North Carolina
6: Texas, Massachusetts, Saint Louis, Baylor, VCU
7: George Washington, UCLA, Kentucky
8: Oklahoma State, GonzagaOregon, New Mexico
9: Iowa, Colorado, Memphis, Stanford
10: Kansas State, Dayton, St. Joseph's, Pittsburgh
11: Arizona State, Nebraska, Xavier, (BYU/Tennessee)
12: Toledo, Louisiana Tech, Harvard, (Providence/SMU)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Manhattan, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Mercer, New Mexico State, Georgia State
15: North Carolina Central, American, UW-Milwaukee, Stony Brook
16: (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), (Texas Southern/Mount St. Mary's), Wofford, Long Beach State,

Should be In: Xavier, SMU
Bubble In: Tennessee, Providence, BYU
Bubble Out: Minnesota, California, Missouri, Arkansas, Florida State, UW-Green Bay

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Bracketology 3/12/14

Notes

1) BYU is right on the cut line after their loss to Gonzaga. I'm keeping them in for now, but they'll be sweating it out on Sunday.
2) Remember that the seed list snakes, so odd lines are read left to right and even lines right to left.

Locks

1: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Villanova
2: Syracuse, Wisconsin, Michigan, Kansas
3: Creighton, Duke, Virginia, Iowa State
4: Louisville, San Diego State, Oklahoma, Cincinnati
5: Michigan State, North Carolina, Saint Louis, Ohio State
6: VCU, Connecticut, Texas, Massachusetts
7: Kentucky, Oregon, Baylor, George Washington
8: Oklahoma State, Memphis, New Mexico, UCLA
9: GonzagaColorado, Iowa, Kansas State
10L: Arizona State, Dayton

Should be in

10S: St. Joseph's, Nebraska
11S: Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh

Bubble/Auto-Bid Only

11B: (BYU/Arkansas)
12: Toledo, Harvard, Southern Miss, (California/Xavier)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Manhattan, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Boston University, Mercer, Georgia State
15: UC-Irvine, North Carolina Central, Stony Brook, UW-Milwaukee
16: (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), (Alabama State/Mount St. Mary's), Utah Valley, Wofford

Last Four Byes: St. Joseph's, Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh
Last Four In: California, Arkansas, Xavier, BYU
First Four Out: Tennessee, Minnesota, Missouri, Southern Miss
Next Five Out: Florida State, Georgetown, UW-Green Bay, Providence, St. John's

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Bracketology 3/11/14

Notes

1) Only changes in the seed list are among the auto-bids. There's probably going to be a couple changes tonight, with lots of movement later in the week. Shooting for daily updates now.
2) Remember that the seed list snakes.


Locks

1: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Villanova
2: Syracuse, Wisconsin, Michigan, Kansas
3: Creighton, Duke, Virginia, Iowa State
4: Louisville, San Diego State, Oklahoma, Cincinnati
5: Michigan State, North Carolina, Saint Louis, Ohio State
6: VCU, Connecticut, Texas, Massachusetts
7: Kentucky, Oregon, Baylor, George Washington
8: Oklahoma State, Memphis, New Mexico, UCLA
9: Colorado, Iowa, Kansas State, Gonzaga 
10L: Arizona State, Dayton

Should be in

10S: St. Joseph's, Nebraska
11S: Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh

Bubble/Auto-Bid Only

11B: (BYU/Arkansas)
12: Toledo, Harvard, Southern Miss, (California/Xavier)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Manhattan, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Boston University, Mercer, Georgia State
15: UC-Irvine, North Carolina Central, Wright State, Stony Brook
16: (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), (Alabama State/Wofford), Utah Valley, Robert Morris

Last Four Byes: St. Joseph's, Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh
Last Four In: California, Arkansas, BYU, Xavier
First Four Out: Tennessee, Minnesota, Missouri, Southern Miss
Next Five Out: Florida State, Georgetown, UW-Green Bay, Providence, St. John's

Monday, March 10, 2014

Bracketology 3/10/14

Notes:
1) Re-configured the seedings of some teams for this update. You'll notice some significant changes, especially on the 7-12 lines.
2) I've added the following categories to the seed list: Lock, Should Be In, Bubble and Auto-Bid Only.
Lock means that the team is going to the tournament irregardless.
Should Be In means that it would take a bad loss in the conference tournament to put a team in jeopardy. Bubble means that a team could go either way, in or out, relatively easily.
Auto-bid Only means that a team must win their conference tournament to get in.
3) I'm going to start chopping the "Next Five Out" list down over the week as the amount of teams with a chance to make the tournament decreases. Any team not listed there is going to need an auto bid.
4) The placement of Southern Miss on the "First Four Out" list indicates where they would be as of now without an autobid. They're probably only getting in with an autobid despite their inclusion on the list- a loss in the C-USA tourney would hurt their stock enough that they wouldn't get an at-large.
5) I'd like to make a quick note about UW-Green Bay since some people may be confused as to why they are included on the "Next Five Out" list. Even though their resume isn't all that great, the committee has set a precedent for letting teams like them into the tourney, such as Iona in 2012 or Middle Tennessee last year.
6) Bold indicates a team is projected to win the auto-bid of their conference, italics means that they have won it.
7) Remember that the seed list snakes: odd lines are read left to right and even lines are read right to left.

Locks

1: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Villanova
2: Syracuse, Wisconsin, Michigan, Kansas
3: Creighton, Duke, Virginia, Iowa State
4: Louisville, San Diego State, Oklahoma, Cincinnati
5: Michigan State, North Carolina, Saint Louis, Ohio State
6: VCU, Connecticut, Texas, Massachusetts
7: Kentucky, Oregon, Baylor, George Washington
8: Oklahoma State, Memphis, New Mexico, UCLA
9: Colorado, Iowa, Kansas State, Gonzaga 
10:                                      Arizona State, Dayton

Should be in

10: St. Joseph's, Nebraska
11: Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh

Bubble/Auto-Bid Only

11:                                                (BYU/Arkansas)
12: Toledo, Harvard, Southern Miss, (California/Xavier)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Boston University, Mercer, Georgia State
15: UC-Irvine, North Carolina Central, Wright State, Stony Brook
16: (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), (Alabama State/Wofford), Utah Valley, Robert Morris

Last Four Byes: St. Joseph's, Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh
Last Four In: California, Arkansas, BYU, Xavier
First Four Out: Tennessee, Minnesota, Missouri, Southern Miss
Next Five Out: Florida State, Georgetown, UW-Green Bay, Providence, St. John's

Sunday, March 9, 2014

Bracketology 3/9/14

1: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Villanova
2: Michigan, Kansas, Virginia, Wisconsin
3: Syracuse, Duke, Creighton, Cincinnati
4: Louisville, Michigan State, San Diego State, Iowa State
5: Massachusetts, Saint Louis, North Carolina, Oklahoma
6: Connecticut, Ohio State, VCU, Kentucky,
7: Texas, George Washington, New Mexico, Oregon
8: Kansas State, Memphis, UCLA, Baylor
9: Gonzaga, Colorado, SMU, Iowa
10: Dayton, Oklahoma State, Stanford, Arizona State
11: St. Joseph's, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, (Xavier/Arkansas)
12: Toledo, Harvard, Southern Miss, (BYU/Tennessee)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona, Mercer
14: UC-Irvine, Vermont, Georgia State, Delaware
15: Boston University, North Carolina Central, Davidson, Eastern Kentucky
16: (Alabama State/Utah Valley), (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), Robert Morris, Wright State

Last Four Byes: Dayton, St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota
Last Four In: Tennessee, Arkansas, BYU, Xavier
First Four Out: California, Georgetown, Nebraska, Missouri
Next Four Out: Providence, Southern Miss, Florida State, St. John's

Saturday, March 8, 2014

Bracketology 3/8/14

1: Arizona, Florida, Wichita State, Villanova
2: Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas
3: Syracuse, Creighton, Duke, Cincinnati
4: North Carolina, Massachusetts, Iowa State, Michigan State
5: Texas, San Diego State, Louisville, Saint Louis
6: Connecticut, UCLA, Kentucky, Oklahoma
7: VCU, Ohio State, New Mexico, George Washington
8: Kansas State, Arizona State, Baylor, Colorado
9: Iowa, Oklahoma State, Oregon, Memphis
10: Dayton, Stanford, SMU, Gonzaga
11: St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota, (Xavier/Pittsburgh)
12: UW-Green Bay, Toledo, Southern Miss, (BYU/Georgetown)
13: Harvard, North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona
14: Georgia State, Delaware, Mercer, Belmont
15: 
Vermont, UC-Irvine, Boston University, North Carolina Central
16: (Alabama State/Utah Valley), (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), Robert Morris, Davidson

Last Four Byes: Dayton, St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota
Last Four In:  Pittsburgh, BYU, Georgetown, Xavier
First Four Out: Tennessee, Nebraska, Providence, California
Next Four Out: Missouri, Florida State, St. John's, LSU

Thursday, March 6, 2014

Bracketology 3/6/14

1: Arizona, Florida, Wichita State, Villanova
2: Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas
3: Syracuse, Creighton, Cincinnati, Duke
4: North Carolina, Michigan State, Massachusetts, Iowa State
5: Texas, San Diego State, Louisville, Saint Louis
6: Connecticut, UCLA, Kentucky, Oklahoma
7: Ohio State, VCU, New Mexico, George Washington
8: Arizona State, Baylor, Iowa, Colorado
9: Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oregon, Memphis
10: Dayton, Stanford, SMU, Gonzaga
11: St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, (Xavier/Pittsburgh)
12: UW-Green Bay, Toledo, Southern Miss, (BYU/Georgetown)
13: Harvard, North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona
14: Georgia State, Delaware, Mercer, Belmont
15: 
Vermont, UC-Irvine, Boston University, North Carolina Central
16: (Alabama State/Utah Valley), (Weber State/High Point), Robert Morris, Davidson

Last Four Byes: Dayton, St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota
Last Four In:  Pittsburgh, Xavier, BYU, Georgetown
First Four Out: Tennessee, Nebraska, Providence, California
Next Four Out: Missouri, Florida State, St. John's, LSU

Tuesday, March 4, 2014

Bracketology 3/4/14

1: Arizona, Florida, Wichita State, Villanova
2: Michigan, Wisconsin, Syracuse, Kansas
3: Creighton, VirginiaIowa State, Duke
4: Saint Louis, Massachusetts, Kentucky, Cincinnati
5: Texas, Michigan State, North Carolina, San Diego State
6: Connecticut, UCLA, Louisville, Oklahoma
7: Ohio State, VCU, New Mexico, Arizona State
8: Kansas State, Iowa, George Washington, Colorado
9: Baylor, Oklahoma State, St. Joseph's, Memphis
10: Oregon, SMU, Gonzaga, Stanford
11: Arkansas, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, (Tennessee/Dayton)
12: UW-Green Bay, Toledo, Southern Miss, (BYU/California)
13: Harvard, North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona
14: Georgia State, Delaware, Mercer, Belmont
15: 
Vermont, UC-Irvine, Boston University, North Carolina Central
16: (Alabama State/Utah Valley), (Weber State/High Point), Robert Morris, Davidson

Last Four Byes: Oregon, Arkansas, Minnesota, Pittsburgh
Last Four In: California, Dayton, BYU, Tennessee
First Four Out: Missouri, Xavier, Providence, Florida State
Next Four Out: Nebraska, Marquette, Georgetown, St. John's
Also Considered: Richmond, LSU, Indiana

Saturday, March 1, 2014

Bracketology 3/1/14

Notes:
1) Most movement in this update is around the bubble: Providence takes over Richmond's spot in the bracket. Lots of movement on the 7-11 lines, as Oregon shoots up and Memphis drops.
2) I'll try to post an update tomorrow considering how much movement there will be after today.
3) Remember that the seed list snakes, so the odd lines read left to right and the even lines read right to left.

1: Florida, Arizona, Wichita State, Syracuse 
2: VillanovaCreightonWisconsin, Kansas
3: Michigan, Duke, Iowa State, Cincinnati
4: Louisville, Massachusetts, Michigan State, Virginia
5: Saint LouisSan Diego State, UCLA, North Carolina
6: Oklahoma, Kentucky, New Mexico, Texas
7: Ohio State, Connecticut, Colorado, George Washington
8: Stanford, Pittsburgh, VCU, Iowa
9: Arizona State, Memphis, SMU, Gonzaga
10: St. Joseph's, Oregon, Baylor, Kansas State
11: Oklahoma State, BYU, Xavier, (California vs. Providence) 
12: Harvard, UW-Green Bay, Southern Miss, (Florida State vs. Minnesota)
13: Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota State, Western Michigan, Mercer 
14: Georgia State,  Delaware, Iona, Belmont, 
15: Vermont, UC-Irvine, Boston University, North Carolina Central
16: (Utah Valley vs. Alabama State), (High Point vs. Weber State), Robert Morris, Davidson

Last Four Byes: St. Joseph's, Oklahoma State, BYU, Xavier
Last Four In: Minnesota, Florida State, California, Providence
First Four Out: Arkansas, Dayton, Tennessee, Missouri
Next Four Out: St. John's, Nebraska, Richmond, Georgetown
On the Radar Screen: Marquette, LSU, Clemson, North Carolina State