Friday, March 10, 2017

Bracketology 3/11/17

Fringe bubble teams dropped like flies today as Georgia, Indiana, TCU, California and Houston all lost must-win games and I think all five are totally out of consideration for an at-large. In my mind, the bubble is really down to just 6 teams- Kansas State, Middle Tennessee, USC, Illinois State, Rhode Island and Syracuse. Right now, there's 4 spots for those 6 teams but that could shrink in the case of bid stealers, and there's plenty of potential bid thieves still alive.

I'm pretty shaky on some areas of my seed list- the 3 and 4 lines are one area, as are the 9 and 10 lines. I'm going to run my model tomorrow afternoon to help sort that out.
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1: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Kentucky
2: Gonzaga, Oregon, Louisville, Florida State
3: Duke, Arizona, Baylor, UCLA
4: Notre Dame, West Virginia, Virginia, Florida
5: Purdue, Butler, Cincinnati, Iowa State
6: Creighton, Minnesota, SMU, St. Mary's
7: Wisconsin, Michigan, Miami (FL), Maryland
8: Arkansas, Virginia Tech, Dayton, Wichita State
9: VCU, Northwestern, South Carolina, Oklahoma State
10: Xavier, Michigan State, Vanderbilt, Seton Hall
11: Marquette, Wake Forest, (Providence/Kansas State), Middle Tennessee
12: (USC/Illinois State), UNC Wilmington, Nevada, UT-Arlington
13: Vermont, Princeton, East Tennessee State, Bucknell
14: Akron, Winthrop, Florida Gulf Coast, Cal State Bakersfield
15: Northern Kentucky, Iona, South Dakota State, Texas Southern
16: UC Irvine, North Dakota, (Jacksonville State/North Carolina Central), (New Orleans/Mount St. Mary's)

First Four Out: Rhode Island, Syracuse, Iowa, Illinois

Moving In: None
Moving Out: None
Removed From Consideration: Georgia, Indiana, TCU, California, Houston

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 9
Big Ten: 7
Big East: 7
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 2
American: 2
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

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