Tuesday, March 7, 2017

Bracketology 3/7/17

I re-ran my model last night and it flipped Illinois State and Kansas State. However, from Providence to Clemson the margins are razor-thin, I can see any team in red getting a bid or getting left out. Speaking of the teams in red, I've introduced a color coding system- black means a team is either a lock or an auto-bid only, orange means a team should be in, red means a team is on the bubble and pink means a team is a long shot. The only bubble action today is in the ACC where Clemson and Wake Forest both face must-wins.

1: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Kentucky
2: Baylor, Louisville, Florida State, Gonzaga
3: Oregon, UCLA, Florida, Butler
4: Duke, Arizona, Virginia, Purdue
5: West Virginia, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Minnesota
6: SMU, St. Mary's, Maryland, Iowa State
7: Dayton, Creighton, Wisconsin, South Carolina
8: Miami (FL), Arkansas, Virginia Tech, Wichita State
9: Oklahoma State, Michigan, VCU, Marquette
10: Michigan State, Northwestern, Seton Hall, Wake Forest
11: Providence, Xavier, (USC/Vanderbilt), (Syracuse/Illinois State)
12: Middle Tennessee, UNC Wilmington, Nevada, Vermont
13: Princeton, UT-Arlington, East Tennessee State, Bucknell
14: Akron, Winthrop, Iona, Florida Gulf Coast
15: Cal State Bakersfield, UC Irvine, North Dakota, Northern Kentucky
16: North Carolina Central, New Orleans, (Nebraska-Omaha/Jacksonville State), (Mount St. Mary's/Texas Southern)

First Four Out: Iowa, Rhode Island, Illinois, Kansas State
Also Considered: Houston, Clemson, Georgia, California, Indiana, Georgia Tech, Ohio State

Moving In: Illinois State, Nebraska-Omaha
Moving Out: Kansas State, South Dakota
Removed From Consideration: None 

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 10
Big Ten: 7
Big East: 6
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 2
American: 2
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

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