Thursday, March 9, 2017

Bracketology 3/9/17

I'm making a decision that I think most bracketologists will disagree with by dropping Syracuse out of the field. Their RPI is 84 and the worst RPI to get an at-large bid is 68. If other bubble teams lose, there's enough other good stuff on their resume that they still have a shot, but I think it's dependent on other bubble teams losing.

I think Wake Forest is in, and I'd be pretty surprised if they didn't make it. Power conference teams with top-40 RPIs don't miss the tournament and their win over Louisville is as good as any other bubble team win.

Lots more bubble teams in action today. Illinois and Kansas State, among others, face must wins.

1: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Kentucky
2: Baylor, Gonzaga, Louisville, Florida State
3: Oregon, UCLA, Florida, Butler
4: Duke, Arizona, Virginia, Purdue
5: West Virginia, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Minnesota
6: SMU, Maryland, Iowa State, St. Mary's
7: Dayton, Creighton, Miami (FL), Wisconsin
8: Virginia Tech, South Carolina, Arkansas, Wichita State
9: Oklahoma State, Michigan, VCU, Marquette
10: Michigan State, Northwestern, Seton Hall, Providence
11: Xavier, Wake Forest, (USC/Vanderbilt), Middle Tennessee
12: (Illinois State/Iowa), UNC Wilmington, Nevada, UT-Arlington
13: Vermont, Princeton, East Tennessee State, Bucknell
14: Akron, Winthrop, Florida Gulf Coast, Cal State Bakersfield
15: Northern Kentucky, Iona, South Dakota State, Texas Southern
16: UC Irvine, North Dakota, (Jacksonville State/North Carolina Central), (New Orleans/Mount St. Mary's)

First Four Out: Syracuse, Rhode Island, Illinois, Kansas State
Also Considered: Houston, Georgia, California, Indiana

Moving In: Iowa
Moving Out: Syracuse
Removed From Consideration: Clemson, Ohio State

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 9
Big Ten: 8
Big East: 6
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 2
American: 2
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

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